Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 26

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday


	Swit Skolwin		Jarota Jarocin

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.35	4.5	6.7
	1.35	4.47	6.69
	1.37	4.7	6.95	Watch
	1.41	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	4.53 ↑ (4.2)	6.49 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swit Skolwin
66.1%

Draw
19.9%

Jarota Jarocin
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.4%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

20.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swit Skolwin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swit Skolwin's performance.

Jarota Jarocin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarota Jarocin than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Swit Skolwin - Jarota Jarocin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swit Skolwin won 3.

Swit Skolwin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jarota is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Swit Skolwin is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Swit Skolwin won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Swit Skolwin won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.04.23	Vineta Wolin - Swit Skolwin	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Swit Skolwin - Sokół Kleczew	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Unia Solec Kujawski - Swit Skolwin	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Swit Skolwin	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Swit Skolwin - Stolem Gniewino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWWW
- Jarota Jarocin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.04.23	Jarota Jarocin - Stolem Gniewino	1:0 ✺
14.04.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Jarota Jarocin	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Jarota Jarocin - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Jarota Jarocin	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Jarota Jarocin - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.09.22	Jarota Jarocin - Swit Skolwin	2:3
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Jarota Jarocin - Swit Skolwin	2:6
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.06.22	Swit Skolwin - Jarota Jarocin	1:2
31.10.21	Jarota Jarocin - Swit Skolwin	2:1
20.03.21	Swit Skolwin - Jarota Jarocin	2:0
21.09.19	Jarota Jarocin - Swit Skolwin	0:1
23.03.19	Jarota Jarocin - Swit Skolwin	1:1

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