Match Info
NPL NSW - Round 23Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Belmore Sports Ground (Belmore, NSW)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | NPL NNSWF |
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Sydney Olympic |
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Wollongong Wolves |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.70 |
3.40 |
2.30 |
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 |
2.38 |
3.20 |
2.55 |
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 |
2.77 |
3.88 |
2.38 |
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 |
2.49 |
3.70 |
2.48 |
Watch |
 |
2.50 |
3.80 |
2.30 |
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2.75 |
3.67 |
2.30 |
Watch |
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2.55 |
3.40 |
2.40 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.75) |
3.58 ↑
(3.3) |
2.39 ↑
(2.17) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sydney Olympic
35.6% | Draw
25.8% | Wollongong Wolves
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Wollongong Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Olympic than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney Olympic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wollongong Wolves than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wollongong Wolves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sydney Olympic - Wollongong Wolves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney Olympic won 3.Sydney Olympic is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Wollongong Wolves is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney Olympic won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 1.9:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Sydney Olympic won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Sydney Olympic - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.25%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Wollongong Wolves - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 40.87%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL NSW | | | 29.03.26 | Wollongong Wolves - Sydney Olympic | 2:1 | | 07.06.25 | Wollongong Wolves - Sydney Olympic | 0:2 | | 22.02.25 | Sydney Olympic - Wollongong Wolves | 0:0 | | 07.07.24 | Wollongong Wolves - Sydney Olympic | 1:2 | | 30.03.24 | Sydney Olympic - Wollongong Wolves | 4:3 | | 13.08.23 | Wollongong Wolves - Sydney Olympic | 2:2 | | 29.04.23 | Sydney Olympic - Wollongong Wolves | 2:2 |
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