Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - NORRA - ROUND 27

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Sylvia		Umeå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.58	3.51	2.46
	2.58	3.51	2.47
	2.4	3.5	2.5
	2.45	3.5	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.5)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	2.47 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sylvia
36.7%

Draw
26.2%

Umeå
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24.4%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sylvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sylvia's performance.

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Umeå might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sylvia than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sylvia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Umeå could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sylvia - Umeå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Andersson D. (G) 20. Azizovic A. 3. Bonde P. 10. Ibrahimovic A. 22. Johnsson J. 19. Jonsson L. 11. Lindahl J. (C) 17. Neffati M. 13. Sandberg T. 4. Tellgren E. 16. Tillmar P.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 5. Aksoy Y. 3. Andersson R. 2. Bergstrom H. 10. Cissoko K. 11. Hofvander W. 4. Lindmark S. (C) 25. Sandstrom A. 6. Seger A. 18. Tatolna S. 15. Westin T.
Substitutes
2. Detterman S. 12. Hanna D. J. 7. Jusic A. 6. Kachmar A. 5. Kalludra B. 8. Lewander H. 24. Lindkvist E.	26. Ekman D. 29. Hogg C. (G) 9. Lundback J. 24. Marklund L. 7. Spanedal I. 13. Stankovic F.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sylvia won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Umeå will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sylvia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sylvia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Sylvia
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.10.23	Sylvia - Piteå	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Vasalund - Sylvia	4:0 ✺
30.09.23	Motala - Sylvia	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Sylvia - Stockholm Internazionale	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Sollentuna - Sylvia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.10.23	Umeå - Motala	3:0 ✺
05.10.23	Piteå - Umeå	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Umeå - Hammarby TFF	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Umeå - Vasalund	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Karlstad - Umeå	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
06.05.23	Umeå - Sylvia	1:3
08.10.22	Sylvia - Umeå	0:1
05.06.22	Umeå - Sylvia	3:0
29.08.21	Umeå - Sylvia	2:2
15.05.21	Sylvia - Umeå	0:2
11.08.19	Umeå - Sylvia	1:1
09.06.19	Sylvia - Umeå	1:3

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