Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 7

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)


	São Bento		Paulista

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	4.33
	1.95	3.05	3.65	Watch
	2	2.98	3.68
	2.03	2.99	3.86	Watch
	1.97	3.2	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.72)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	3.87 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bento
47.1%

Draw
29.3%

Paulista
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

28.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bento's form might have worsened.

Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

São Bento - Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Mariano Rodrigues ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 2, Kayque ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

São Bento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, São Bento has had a series of away games.

Recently, Paulista has had a series of home games.

In this match, São Bento is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Bento won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bento
Brazilian Copa Paulista
18.07.25	Piracicaba - São Bento	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	EC Primavera - São Bento	2:2 ✺
05.07.25	São Bento - Guarani B	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Rio Branco de Americana - São Bento	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Paulista - São Bento	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTWL
- Paulista FC
Brazilian Copa Paulista
19.07.25	Paulista - Guarani B	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Paulista - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Paulista	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Paulista - EC Primavera	0:1 ✺
20.06.25	Paulista - São Bento	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
20.06.25	Paulista - São Bento	4:2

São Bento - Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide