Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 7

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro (Sorocaba)


	São Bento		Portuguesa Santista

	1	X	2
	1.77	3	5
	1.78	3.1	4.7	Watch
	1.77	3.06	4.8
	1.75	3.27	4.7	Watch
	1.8	3	4.8
	1.76	3.22	4.92
	1.78	3.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.12)	3.11 ↓ (3.13)	4.8 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bento
51.6%

Draw
29.4%

Portuguesa Santista
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

23.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Bento's performance.

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa Santista might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Bento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa Santista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Bento - Portuguesa Santista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Lucas Vieira ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).

Recent matches São Bento is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portuguesa Santista has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match São Bento is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Bento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 2:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams São Bento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bento
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.02.25	Taubaté - São Bento	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	São Bento - Ituano	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Osasco Sporting - São Bento	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	Grêmio Prudente - São Bento	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	São Bento - Votuporanguense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWT
- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.02.25	Linense - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Santo André	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	CA Juventus - Portuguesa Santista	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Capivariano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - São Bento	5:5
12.02.22	São Bento - Portuguesa Santista	0:0
16.02.20	Portuguesa Santista - São Bento	3:1

São Bento - Portuguesa Santista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide