Match Info

Date: 26 April 2021, Monday


	São Bernardo		Grêmio Osasco Audax

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.5
	1.63	3.15	5.5
	1.66	3.2	5.2
	1.56	3.8	6.8
	1.65	3.1	5.5
	1.69	3.32	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)	3.31 ↑ (3.24)	5.61 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
56.1%

Draw
27.6%

Grêmio Osasco Audax
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

28.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

18%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Grêmio Osasco Audax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Bernardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Osasco Audax than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Osasco Audax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Bernardo - Grêmio Osasco Audax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs) and 13).

Recent matches São Bernardo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Audax is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.04.21	Osasco Sporting - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
22.04.21	São Bernardo - CA Juventus	2:0 ✺
20.04.21	Portuguesa - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
14.03.21	São Bernardo - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
10.03.21	Lemense FC - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWT
- Grêmio Osasco Audax
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.04.21	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Rio Claro	1:0 ✺
22.04.21	Água Santa - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:0 ✺
20.04.21	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Velo Clube - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:0 ✺
10.03.21	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Red Bull Brasil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.02.20	Grêmio Osasco Audax - São Bernardo	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.03.17	São Bernardo - Grêmio Osasco Audax	3:1
13.03.16	São Bernardo - Grêmio Osasco Audax	3:3
27.02.15	Grêmio Osasco Audax - São Bernardo	3:0
28.01.14	São Bernardo - Grêmio Osasco Audax	0:1

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