Match Info

Date: 2 November 2021, Tuesday


	São Bernardo		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.7	5.25
	1.6	3.4	4.9
	1.65	3.5	4.8
	1.66	3.47	5.32
	1.63	3.3	5.25
	1.65	3.5	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.63)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	5.1 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
55.9%

Draw
26.2%

São Caetano
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

16.4%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Bernardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Bernardo - São Caetano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

São Bernardo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São Caetano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Recent matches São Caetano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Copa Paulista
30.10.21	São Caetano - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
27.10.21	São Bernardo - EC São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	EC São Bernardo - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
19.10.21	São Bernardo - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
12.10.21	EC São Bernardo - São Bernardo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWW
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Copa Paulista
30.10.21	São Caetano - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
26.10.21	Piracicaba - São Caetano	1:2 penalties ✺
23.10.21	São Caetano - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
19.10.21	São Caetano - CA Juventus	4:0 ✺
15.10.21	Lemense FC - São Caetano	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
30.10.21	São Caetano - São Bernardo	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
20.08.20	São Caetano - São Bernardo	4:3
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.02.13	São Bernardo - São Caetano	4:1

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