Match Info

Paulista B - Round 9

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	São Carlos		Independente de Limeira

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.05	2.14
	3.2	2.99	2.15
	3.23	3.04	2.2	Watch
	3.23	3.04	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.65)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)	2.16 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Carlos
28.7%

Draw
29.7%

Independente de Limeira
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Independente de Limeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Carlos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independente de Limeira than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

São Carlos - Independente de Limeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Dudu Black ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Dudu Black ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', 🟥,

Preview

Independente SP is Qualified for Paulista B (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent performances by São Carlos have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independente SP is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Independente SP will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Carlos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, São Carlos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Carlos FC
Brazilian Paulista B
07.06.26	Matonense - São Carlos	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	São Carlos - Grêmio Catanduvense	8:0 ✺
23.05.26	Mogi Mirim - São Carlos	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	São Carlos - Santacruzense	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Independente de Limeira - São Carlos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLTL
- Independente de Limeira
Brazilian Paulista B
07.06.26	Independente de Limeira - Santacruzense	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Independente de Limeira - Mogi Mirim	4:1 ✺
24.05.26	Matonense - Independente de Limeira	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Grêmio Catanduvense - Independente de Limeira	0:4 ✺
10.05.26	Independente de Limeira - São Carlos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista B
10.05.26	Independente de Limeira - São Carlos	2:1
16.05.25	São Carlos - Independente de Limeira	3:0

São Carlos - Independente de Limeira