Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	São Cristóvão		Friburguense

	1	X	2
	2	2.98	3.65
	1.31	5.19	7.73	Watch
	1.94	3.38	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)	3.85 ↑ (3.33)	5.02 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Cristóvão
55.5%

Draw
25.2%

Friburguense
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

26.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Cristóvão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Friburguense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Cristóvão than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Friburguense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

São Cristóvão - Friburguense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+9', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B2).

São Cristóvão is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Friburguense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, São Cristóvão is considered a favorite.

We predict that São Cristóvão will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Cristóvão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, São Cristóvão won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Cristóvão FR
Brazilian Carioca B1
18.10.25	Petrópolis - São Cristóvão	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	São Cristóvão - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Carapebus Campos - São Cristóvão	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	São Cristóvão - Campo Grande	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Nova Cidade - São Cristóvão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWWTT
- Friburguense AC
Brazilian Carioca B1
18.10.25	Friburguense - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Campo Grande - Friburguense	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Friburguense - Serrano FC	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Petrópolis - Friburguense	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Friburguense - Carapebus Campos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
12.10.24	São Cristóvão - Friburguense	1:0

São Cristóvão - Friburguense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide