Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 9

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cilmar Pedro Goergen (São José dos Pinhais)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	São-Joseense		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	3.11	2.6	2.63
	3	2.62	2.62
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.98)	2.61 ↓ (2.84)	2.63 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São-Joseense
30%

Draw
35.1%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

31.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

31.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São-Joseense than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

São Joseense - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira C. F. M. P. (G) 5. Darlan 3. Dirceu (C) 8. Felipe Vieira 2. Igor Dutra 11. Marcos Calazans 4. Oswaldo Henriquez 10. Thiaguinho 9. Thomasel 7. Thomaz Carvalho 6. Vinicio	23. da Silva Santos T. D. (G) 5. Bruno Vinicius 2. Daniel Guedes 7. Diego Tavares 19. Eduardo Tanque 30. Felix Jorge (C) 28. Geilson 36. Joao Lucas 37. Leo Silva 27. Luiz Gustavo 11. Rikelmi
Substitutes
12. Agenor (G) 15. Andre Krobel 22. Bianconi Kohl M. A. 18. Eduardo Oliveira 19. Hannyel 13. Henrique Vermudt 16. Henrique Vigia 20. Joao Maranhao 14. Junior Espeto 25. Maycon 21. Vitor Wallace 17. Wendel Lessa	31. Cassio 12. Claudio Vitor (G) 14. Diego Ivo 25. Erik Bessa 1. Gabriel Gasparotto (G) 10. Gustavo Xuxa 39. Joesley 8. Julio Rusch 6. Kevin 18. Leo Cesar 38. Lucas Mazetti 35. Wallace

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Thomasel ⚽,
44', Bruno Vinicius 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Darlan ⚽,
45+4', Marcos Calazans 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leo Silva ↓, Joesley ↑,
46', Daniel Guedes ↓, Lucas Mazetti ↑,
60', Dirceu 🟨,
62', Thomasel 🟨,
62', Marcos Calazans ↓, Bianconi Kohl M. A. ↑,
62', Thomasel ↓, Joao Maranhao ↑,
63', Eduardo Tanque ↓, Erik Bessa ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Diego Tavares ⚽,
74', Geilson ↓, Gustavo Xuxa ↑,
79', Vinicio ↓, Junior Espeto ↑,
80', Thomaz Carvalho ↓, Henrique Vermudt ↑,
84', Rikelmi ↓, Diego Ivo ↑,
86', Pereira C. F. M. P. 🟨,
90', Darlan ↓, Henrique Vigia ↑,
90+2', Felix Jorge 🟨,
90+4', Thiaguinho 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Paranaense 2 and 10).

São-Joseense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paraná is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paraná could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São-Joseense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Including matches at home between the teams São-Joseense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
06.02.25	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	São-Joseense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Azuriz - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	3:0 ✺
23.01.25	São-Joseense - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLT
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
04.02.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Maringá	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Rio Branco PR - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Londrina - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:0 ✺
23.01.25	Azuriz - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
02.02.22	São-Joseense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0

São-Joseense - Paraná Clube Curitiba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide