Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 8

Date: 12 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Martins Pereira (Sao Jose dos Campos)


	São José-SP		Patrocinense

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	5.75
	1.47	4	6
	1.46	3.6	6.34
	1.46	3.6	6.34
	1.45	3.88	6.63
	1.47	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	3.81 ↑ (3.44)	6.18 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São José-SP
61.7%

Draw
23.7%

Patrocinense
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

25.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São José-SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São José-SP's performance.

Patrocinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São José-SP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

São José SP - Patrocinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Felipe Barreto ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Franco ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Nicholas ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 4 - 0, Martins da Silva L. T. ⚽,
83', 5 - 0, Jackson ⚽,
86', 6 - 0, Jackson ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent matches São José-SP is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Patrocinense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match São José-SP is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São José-SP won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São José-SP
Brazilian Serie D
08.06.24	Patrocinense - São José-SP	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	São José-SP - Maringá	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Água Santa - São José-SP	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	São José-SP - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	São José-SP - Santo André	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTTT
- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Serie D
08.06.24	Patrocinense - São José-SP	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Internacional de Limeira - Patrocinense	3:0 ✺
25.05.24	Patrocinense - Costa Rica	2:2 ✺
18.05.24	Patrocinense - Maringá	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Pouso Alegre - Patrocinense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.06.24	Patrocinense - São José-SP	2:1

São José-SP - Patrocinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide