The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Paulo 61.9%
Draw 24.1%
Grêmio Porto Alegrense 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
27.6%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
26.9%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.
Grêmio Porto Alegrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Porto Alegrense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Paulo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Porto Alegrense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
50. Sol (G) 2. Allyne 10. Brenda Woch 27. Dani Barao 4. Day Silva 99. Giovaninha 13. Leidiane 80. Marques R. 7. Pini (C) 20. Ramos M. 3. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
1. Anna Beatriz (G) 15. Barbosa C. 33. Calazans L. 3. Carol Gil 6. Clara 9. Gadu 18. Kesia Sena 72. Mylena Carioca 16. Pereyra M. 26. Preininger V. 24. Soraya 99. Vi Amaral
5. Amanda Brunner 16. Arrieta C. 97. Bia Santos 15. Iara 79. Leticia Nunes 17. Luana Spindler 12. Lucilene (G) 32. Maria 95. Maria Dias 30. Moreno L. 9. Valeria Paula
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Pini 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
68', Aline ↓, Vi Amaral ↑,
68', Serrana ↓, Kesia Sena ↑,
77', Rafa Soares ↓, Carol Gil ↑,
78', Isa ↓, Mylena Carioca ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Crivelari ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Vi Amaral ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grêmio has had a series of home games.
In this match, São Paulo is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:4. (average 1.8:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 1.8:0.3).
Usa
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Carlinha (G) 
Ramos M. 
Rodriguez M. 
Barbosa C. 
Pereyra M. 
Moreno L. 
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