The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Raimundo PR 43%
Draw 30.7%
Penarol 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
31.4%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
23.6%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Raimundo PR has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Penarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Raimundo PR than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Raimundo PR, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penarol than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penarol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
São Raimundo PR is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Penarol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
São Raimundo PR will have a small advantage in this match.