Match Info

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein - Round 28

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	TSB Flensburg		Oldenburger

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.3	3.15
	1.82	4.43	3.2
	1.77	4.3	3.33
	1.81	4.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.86)	4.33 ↑ (4.1)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSB Flensburg
50.6%

Draw
21%

Oldenburger
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

22.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

19.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSB Flensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Oldenburger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSB Flensburg than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TSB Flensburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburger than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Freund M. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TSB Flensburg won 1.

TSB Flensburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oldenburger is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

TSB Flensburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

TSB Flensburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, TSB Flensburg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 3.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, TSB Flensburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 4.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSB Flensburg
German Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
09.04.25	Nordmark Satrup - TSB Flensburg	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	TSB Flensburg - Eckernförder	5:4 ✺
30.03.25	VfR Neumünster - TSB Flensburg	3:3 ✺
22.03.25	TSB Flensburg - Preußen Reinfeld	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Eichede - TSB Flensburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTLL
- Oldenburger SV
German Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
27.04.25	Oldenburger - Eckernförder	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	VfR Neumünster - Oldenburger	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Oldenburger - Preußen Reinfeld	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Eichede - Oldenburger	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Oldenburger - Dornbreite Lübeck	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
12.10.24	Oldenburger - TSB Flensburg	2:2
20.04.24	TSB Flensburg - Oldenburger	3:3
21.10.23	Oldenburger - TSB Flensburg	2:2
25.02.23	TSB Flensburg - Oldenburger	4:1
27.11.22	Oldenburger - TSB Flensburg	2:1
04.05.22	Oldenburger - TSB Flensburg	8:2
23.04.22	TSB Flensburg - Oldenburger	3:2

TSB Flensburg - Oldenburger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide