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Current Win Probability
TSG Hoffenheim 12.3%
Draw 16.7%
Wolfsburg 71%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
24.1%
53.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.1%
23.6%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TSG Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TSG Hoffenheim's form might have worsened.
Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolfsburg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TSG Hoffenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolfsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dick L. (G) 20. Gloning L. 25. van de Velde J. 14. Doorn L. 4. Kaut L. 21. Martret L. 6. Diehm V. (C) 23. Hahn C. 26. Grimm J. 9. Steiner M. 19. Folmli S.
1. Johannes S. (G) 2. Bjelde T. 4. Kleinherne S. 16. Kuver C. 39. Linder S. 14. Vallotto S. 6. Minge J. (C) 5. Peddemors E. 10. Huth S. 9. Prasnikar L. 28. Zicai C.
Substitutes
30. Bitzer N. 15. Fenger M. 18. Kemper I. 28. Lichtfus L. (G) 29. Lueger D. 11. Natter L. 16. Roder M. 36. Thomann V.
18. Alber M. 23. Bogaert L. 19. Bussy K. 38. Kerim-Lindland A. 20. Landenberger J. 8. Lattwein L. 17. Piljic K. 21. Tufekovic M. (G) 24. Wedemeyer M.
Coaches
Virsinger M.
Lerch S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Hahn C. ⚽, Grimm J. (A),
45', Vallotto S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vallotto S. ↓, Lattwein L. ↑,
59', Kleinherne S. ↓, Piljic K. ↑,
59', Prasnikar L. ↓, Kerim-Lindland A. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Kerim-Lindland A. ⚽, Linder S. (A),
67', Folmli S. ↓, Natter L. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Hahn C. ⚽, Martret L. (A),
68', Zicai C. ↓, Alber M. ↑,
79', Hahn C. ↓, Bitzer N. ↑,
79', Martret L. ↓, Fenger M. ↑,
88', Natter L. 🟨,
90', Steiner M. ↓, Thomann V. ↑,
90+2', Doorn L. ↓, Roder M. ↑,
90+5', Fenger M. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 12th and 1st).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
Hoffenheim is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wolfsburg shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Wolfsburg holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hoffenheim has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:45 (averaging 0.8:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hoffenheim against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 9:22 goals (averaging 0.8:2 per game).
Austria
Germany
Switzerland
World
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Dick L. (G) 
van de Velde J. 
Martret L. 
Folmli S. 
Bjelde T. 
Prasnikar L. 
Lichtfus L. (G) 
Lueger D. 
Bogaert L. 
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