Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN SÜD - ROUND 7

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday


	TSV Kottern		Garching

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.78	8.94
	1.22	6.15	9.6
	1.28	5.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.49)	5.81 ↑ (4.31)	8.68 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSV Kottern
73.5%

Draw
15.9%

Garching
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

21.2%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

20.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSV Kottern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TSV Kottern's performance.

Garching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garching might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSV Kottern than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TSV Kottern that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garching than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garching could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 and 17 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kottern won 2.

Kottern is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Garching is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Garching could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kottern is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kottern to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kottern won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Kottern won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Kottern
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
12.08.23	Nördlingen - TSV Kottern	1:3 ✺
09.08.23	TSV Kottern - Sonthofen	3:2 ✺
06.08.23	Türkspor Augsburg - TSV Kottern	0:5 ✺
29.07.23	TSV Kottern - Kirchanschöring	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Landsberg - TSV Kottern	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL
- VfR Garching
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
13.08.23	Sonthofen - Garching	4:3 ✺
08.08.23	Garching - Kirchanschöring	0:2 ✺
04.08.23	Erlbach - Garching	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Garching - Rain am Lech	0:2 ✺
26.07.23	Schwaben Augsburg - Garching	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
21.04.23	Garching - TSV Kottern	0:5
17.09.22	TSV Kottern - Garching	1:3
16.04.22	Garching - TSV Kottern	2:0
18.09.21	TSV Kottern - Garching	4:0
30.04.16	Garching - TSV Kottern	2:1
03.10.15	TSV Kottern - Garching	1:3

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