Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA NIEDERRHEIN - ROUND 8

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	TVD Velbert		Baumberg

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.75	2.15
	2.78	3.79	2.21
	2.66	3.78	2.17
	2.7	3.75	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.48)	3.77 ↓ (3.8)	2.17 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TVD Velbert
33.7%

Draw
24.2%

Baumberg
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

24.1%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

23.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TVD Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Baumberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TVD Velbert than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baumberg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

TVD Velbert is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baumberg is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches TVD Velbert won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams TVD Velbert won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TVD Velbert
German Oberliga Niederrhein
23.09.23	St Tonis - TVD Velbert	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	TVD Velbert - Hamborn	4:1 ✺
09.09.23	Uerdingen - TVD Velbert	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	TVD Velbert - Homberg	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	TVD Velbert - Schonnebeck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTWT
- Sportfreunde Baumberg
German Oberliga Niederrhein
23.09.23	Baumberg - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	St Tonis - Baumberg	2:5 ✺
10.09.23	Baumberg - Adler Union Frintrop	7:1 ✺
03.09.23	Hamborn - Baumberg	0:3 ✺
27.08.23	Baumberg - Meerbusch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
05.02.23	Baumberg - TVD Velbert	2:2
10.08.22	TVD Velbert - Baumberg	4:1
24.04.22	TVD Velbert - Baumberg	0:2
05.09.21	Baumberg - TVD Velbert	0:1
18.10.20	TVD Velbert - Baumberg	4:1

TVD Velbert - Baumberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide