Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Kelito (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+


	Tacuary		Fernando de la Mora

	1	X	2
	2.18	3	3.1
	2.2	2.97	3.11
	2.28	3.09	3.26	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.21	3	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.26)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.17 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
40.8%

Draw
30.5%

Fernando de la Mora
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Fernando de la Mora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Tacuary - Fernando de la Mora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuary won 2.

Tacuary has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fernando de la Mora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tacuary will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacuary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacuary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30:43	-13	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.05.26	3 de Noviembre - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Tacuary - General Caballero JLM	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Guaireña - Tacuary	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tacuary - Resistencia	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sol de América - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLT
- Club Fernando de la Mora
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.05.26	Fernando de la Mora - Atlético Tembetary	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Benjamín Aceval - Fernando de la Mora	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	12 de Junio - Fernando de la Mora	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Fernando de la Mora - Encarnación	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
10.08.25	Tacuary - Fernando de la Mora	0:1
04.05.25	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	2:1
Copa Paraguay
11.07.23	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	1:2
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
04.09.21	Fernando de la Mora - Tacuary	2:3
30.05.21	Tacuary - Fernando de la Mora	0:2
Copa Paraguay
22.08.19	Tacuary - Fernando de la Mora	0:3

Tacuary - Fernando de la Mora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide