Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tadamon Sour		Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.20	4.50
	1.68	3.15	4.7
	1.74	3.22	4.39
	1.76	3.35	4.57	Watch
	1.72	3.15	4.3
	1.66	3.52	5.18
	1.71	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.45)	3.26 ↓ (3.6)	4.63 ↓ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tadamon Sour
52.8%

Draw
27.7%

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.3%

25.5%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tadamon Sour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tadamon Sour's form might have worsened.

Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.

Tadamon Sour - Al Akhaa Al Ahli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Lukasi P. ⚽, Al Samahi Z. H. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Lukasi P. ⚽, Atriss Y. (A),
41', 2 - 1, El Saleh M. ⚽, Karaki A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 3 - 1, Al Samahi Z. H. ⚽, Zayyat F. (A),
78', 4 - 1, Kassem K. ⚽, Aabed M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tadamon won 2.

In this match, Tadamon enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Tadamon has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:8 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tadamon against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 3.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tadamon	4	3	1	0	10:5	5	10
12	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	4	0	0	4	2:10	-8	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tadamon Sour
Lebanese Premier League
12.10.26	Nejmeh - Tadamon Sour	3:3 ✺
08.10.26	Shabab Al Sahel - Tadamon Sour	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Al-Abbassieh - Tadamon Sour	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Racing Beirut - Tadamon Sour	1:3 ✺
03.07.26	Tadamon Sour - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWLWL
- Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli Aley
Lebanese Premier League
13.10.26	Tripoli - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Nejmeh	0:2 ✺
Lebanese Cup
17.03.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Bourj	1:2 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
10.03.23	Hekmeh - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Salam Zgharta - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
19.02.23	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tadamon Sour	0:0
15.01.23	Tadamon Sour - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	2:0
02.10.22	Tadamon Sour - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli	5:2
19.11.21	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tadamon Sour	2:1
25.12.20	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tadamon Sour	1:1
21.10.18	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tadamon Sour	1:1
17.02.18	Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli - Tadamon Sour	2:2

Tadamon Sour - Al-Akhaa Al-Ahli