Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Tala`ea El-Gaish		National Bank of Egypt

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	2.82	2.62	Watch
	3.27	2.78	2.74
	2.94	2.78	2.7	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.63
	3.18	2.63	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.48)	2.73 ↑ (2.5)	2.67 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tala`ea El-Gaish
30.8%

Draw
34.3%

National Bank of Egypt
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

37.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

35.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

National Bank of Egypt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for National Bank of Egypt than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	58.3%	41.7%

Tala`ea El Gaish - National Bank of Egypt Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. National Bank will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Radwan O. (G) 24. Awad K. 5. Souissi H. 4. Camacho M. 3. Tarek A. 12. Mohareb I. 14. Hamdi A. 27. Alaa A. 23. Keita A. 28. Ouro-Agoro I. 8. Zola A.	1. Ahmed Sobhi (G) 24. Dowidar M. 6. El Gazzar M. 33. Cyrille D. 12. Meteb A. 17. El Nadry A. (C) 18. Reda A. 29. Rayan A. 23. Oufa 10. Ibrahim M. 9. Faisal O.
Substitutes
17. Al Madadha G. 30. Atef M. 20. Aziz M. 19. El Gabry H. 18. El Sayed E. (G) 10. Hany M. 26. Khaled H. 32. Mostafa Y. 6. Sotohi K.	22. Abdallah S. 30. Annor Y. 25. Ashraf M. 15. Bouchama S. 27. El Balouti A. (G) 28. El Zenary M. 21. Madbouli A. 20. Medhat A. 4. Simpore S.
Coaches
Mashhour G.	Al Ramadi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Mohareb I. ⚽, Ouro-Agoro I. (A),
45', Alaa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', El Nadry A. ↓, Bouchama S. ↑,
55', Reda A. ↓, Madbouli A. ↑,
66', Ibrahim M. ↓, Simpore S. ↑,
71', Rayan A. ↓, Abdallah S. ↑,
74', Zola A. ↓, Al Madadha G. ↑,
74', Mohareb I. ↓, Khaled H. ↑,
74', Ouro-Agoro I. ↓, Sotohi K. ↑,
74', Keita A. ↓, Atef M. ↑,
80', Tarek A. ↓, El Gabry H. ↑,
83', Meteb A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 2.

Recent form of El-Gaish has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

National Bank's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

El-Gaish may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, El-Gaish won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, El-Gaish won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	El Gaish	5	2	1	2	5:5	0	7
13	National Bank Egypt	5	2	0	3	4:7	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Tala`ea El-Gaish - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.69%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

National Bank of Egypt - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tala`ea El-Gaish
Egyptian Premier League
05.04.26	Ismaily - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
29.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Wadi Degla	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Wadi Degla - Tala`ea El-Gaish	3:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
22.03.26	ZED - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
18.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - ZED	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLLL
- National Bank of Egypt SC
Egyptian Premier League
05.04.26	National Bank of Egypt - Haras El-Hodood	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Ghazl El Mahalla - National Bank of Egypt	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	National Bank of Egypt - Pyramids	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Ceramica Cleopatra - National Bank of Egypt	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	National Bank of Egypt - Smouha	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
29.08.25	National Bank of Egypt - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0
27.02.25	Tala`ea El-Gaish - National Bank of Egypt	2:2
17.04.24	National Bank of Egypt - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:1
18.09.23	Tala`ea El-Gaish - National Bank of Egypt	2:0
Egyptian Cup
23.06.23	Tala`ea El-Gaish - National Bank of Egypt	1:2 penalties
Egyptian Premier League
15.04.23	National Bank of Egypt - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:0
20.12.22	Tala`ea El-Gaish - National Bank of Egypt	1:0

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