Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Tamaraceite		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.63	2.95	2.50
	2.43	3.27	2.77
	2.4	3.26	2.75	Watch
	2.40	3.05	2.75
	2.49	3.34	2.72
	2.39	3.10	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.25)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	2.68 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamaraceite
37.3%

Draw
28.9%

Antoniano
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamaraceite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tamaraceite, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Tamaraceite - Antoniano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Suarez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Tamaraceite (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Antoniano has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Tamaraceite	5	1	0	4	4:11	-7	3
18	Antoniano	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Last Results with these Odds

Tamaraceite - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.95%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tamaraceite
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.09.26	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Tamaraceite	6:2 ✺
20.09.26	Tamaraceite - Recreativo Huelva	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Tamaraceite	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Tamaraceite - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Villa de Santa Brígida - Tamaraceite	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.09.26	Antoniano - Ciudad de Lucena	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Antoniano - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Betis B - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Antoniano - Don Benito	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.08.26	Portuense - Antoniano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTLW

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