The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Sun 33.1%
Draw 26.9%
Lexington 40%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.3%
25.5%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
25%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Sun than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+1%)
Tampa Bay Sun - Lexington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roque C. (G) 26. Chism T. 4. Bessette V. 11. Hill K. 27. Guidry S. 5. Listro J. (C) 37. Zade J. 3. Kroeger S. 19. Waldeck-Zierenberg T. 9. Connors S. 35. Nasello S.
24. Campbell R. (G) 12. Bourgeois A. 4. Pantuso A. 22. Steigleder R. 16. Elizabeth Brown A. 35. Griffith S. 26. Murray K. 20. Rajaee D. 11. Weinert M. 15. Barry C. 18. Mccain A. (C)
Substitutes
22. Goins P. 15. Hendrix B. 6. McNeill S. 7. Scarpelli L. 44. Wegener E. (G) 24. White K. 13. Zschuppe E.
66. Falla G. 19. Johnson H. 7. Josephson M. (G) 14. Kompeyer B. 10. Midgley M. J. 23. Vernis N. 2. White H.
Coaches
Schilte-Brown D.
Kimura K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Connors S. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Mccain A. ⚽, Elizabeth Brown A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Waldeck-Zierenberg T. ↓, Zschuppe E. ↑,
56', Bourgeois A. 🟨,
56', Kroeger S. ↓, Hendrix B. ↑,
57', Zade J. ↓, McNeill S. ↑,
59', Griffith S. ↓, Johnson H. ↑,
68', Guidry S. ↓, Goins P. ↑,
69', Weinert M. ↓, Vernis N. ↑,
69', Barry C. ↓, White H. ↑,
88', Bourgeois A. ↓, Falla G. ↑,
88', Murray K. ↓, Midgley M. J. ↑,
90+2', White H. 🟨,
90+4', Nasello S. ↓, White K. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Lexington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tampa Bay has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Lexington has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:8 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 2.7:1 per game).
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Roque C. (G) 
Chism T. 
Bessette V. 
Zschuppe E. 
Kimura K. 
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