Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)


	Tampere United		Espoon Palloseura

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.33
	1.46	4.33	5.25
	1.58	4.1	4.5
	1.49	4.55	5.85
	1.6	4.15	4.5	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.6	4.15	4.64
	1.58	4.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	4.22 ↓ (4.7)	4.88 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampere United
59.5%

Draw
21.7%

Espoon Palloseura
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

19%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

18.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampere United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Espoon Palloseura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampere United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Tampere United - Espoon Palloseura Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tampere United will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). EPS will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. EPS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Immonen J. (C) 2. Alapera J. 18. Georg J. 21. Hallivuori J. 30. Heikkinen J. 4. Kovaqi A. 35. Laitinen J. 24. Matto A. 10. Ozcelik T. 15. Rantala J. 33. Sarlin M.	30. Lehtinen L. (G) 19. Adawi O. 10. Ambasciano M. 7. Azhar L. 15. Blumme V. 33. Dubova K. 49. Hussein A. (C) 38. Ojakangas E. 9. Pitkanen A. 18. Ruusu A. 5. Saynio E.
Substitutes
31. Hirvonen O. (G) 5. Jokinen A. 17. Kesti L. 3. Koistinen J. 8. Lehtonen R. 22. Maunuksela V. 28. Seyar A. 7. Stenroos J. 27. Torma T.	80. Aaltonen A. 1. Brusiin O. (G) 14. Hautakangas P. 98. Kiiski V. 16. Pllana A. 22. Tasa E. 8. Tella A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ambasciano M. 🟨,
27', Alapera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alapera J. ↓, Kesti L. ↑,
53', Hallivuori J. 🟨,
63', Ruusu A. ↓, Aaltonen A. ↑,
63', Ambasciano M. ↓, Tella A. ↑,
67', Matto A. ↓, Torma T. ↑,
67', Sarlin M. ↓, Lehtonen R. ↑,
73', Pitkanen A. ↓, Kiiski V. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Stenroos J. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampere United won 1.

Tampere United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

EPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Tampere United is considered a favorite.

We predict that Tampere United will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tampere United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampere United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampere United
Finnish Ykkonen
10.05.25	RoPS - Tampere United	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Tampere United - JJK Jyväskylä	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Tampere United - KPV Kokkola	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Inter Turku II - Tampere United	2:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.25	Tampere United - TPS	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWL
- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Ykkonen
11.05.25	Espoon Palloseura - Inter Turku II	3:5 ✺
03.05.25	OLS - Espoon Palloseura	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Espoon Palloseura - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Espoon Palloseura	0:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.25	VJS Vantaa - Espoon Palloseura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
07.10.23	Espoon Palloseura - Tampere United	5:2
15.07.23	Tampere United - Espoon Palloseura	2:0
01.10.22	Tampere United - Espoon Palloseura	0:1
09.07.22	Espoon Palloseura - Tampere United	1:1
21.09.19	Tampere United - Espoon Palloseura	1:2
04.05.19	Espoon Palloseura - Tampere United	2:1

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