Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Tarazona		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.3	3.9
	1.88	3.1	4.1
	1.81	3.35	3.9
	1.79	3.38	4.62
	1.78	3.42	4.2
	1.82	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	4.11 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
50.4%

Draw
27.5%

UD Logroñés Promesas
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

28.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tarazona's performance.

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Logroñés Promesas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Tarazona - UD Logroñés Promesas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tarazona will win (votes: 6 - 60%). UD L Promesas will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tarazona: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tarazona will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.10.22	Alfaro - Tarazona	0:3 ✺
02.10.22	Tarazona - Utebo	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Tarazona - Beasain	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Izarra - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Tarazona - Tudelano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTTW
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.10.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Izarra	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	Tudelano - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Sestao	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Real Sociedad C - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWW

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