Match Info

Date: 1 September 2021, Wednesday


	Tasmania Berlin		Auerbach

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	2.65
	2.25	3.8	2.55
	2.22	3.85	2.6
	2.3	4	2.63
	2.05	3.5	3.1
	2.32	3.98	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.94)	3.86 ↑ (3.75)	2.7 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tasmania Berlin
41.9%

Draw
23.9%

Auerbach
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

24.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

16.4%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tasmania Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tasmania Berlin's form might have worsened.

Auerbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auerbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tasmania Berlin than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tasmania Berlin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auerbach than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auerbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tasmania Berlin - Auerbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Tasmania Berlin has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Auerbach is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tasmania Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tasmania Berlin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tasmania Berlin
German Regionalliga Nordost
28.08.21	Carl Zeiss Jena - Tasmania Berlin	5:0 ✺
21.08.21	Tasmania Berlin - Optik Rathenow	3:3 ✺
18.08.21	Berliner FC Dynamo - Tasmania Berlin	6:0 ✺
13.08.21	Tasmania Berlin - Luckenwalde	0:4 ✺
07.08.21	Chemie Leipzig - Tasmania Berlin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- VfB Auerbach
German Regionalliga Nordost
29.08.21	Auerbach - Meuselwitz	0:1 ✺
22.08.21	Germania Halberstadt - Auerbach	7:1 ✺
18.08.21	Auerbach - Eilenburg	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Energie Cottbus - Auerbach	5:0 ✺
01.08.21	Altglienicke - Auerbach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

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