Match Info

HUNGARY: Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 8

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Grosics Gyula Stadion (Tatabanya)


	Tatabánya		Ajka

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.75	3.25	2.32
	2.77	3.4	2.31
	2.84	3.51	2.33
	2.84	3.18	2.32
	2.75	3.25	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.42)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.32 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatabánya
32.9%

Draw
27.7%

Ajka
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.3%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatabánya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatabánya than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tatabánya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tatabánya - Ajka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Loth P. (G) 19. Buna G. 48. Csernik K. 6. Derekas Z. 30. Deutsch B. 24. Jagodics M. 7. Kiprich D. 9. Kocsis G. 8. Soltesz B. 75. Varga D. 17. Vass P.	97. Szabados I. (G) 7. Borsos F. 13. Csemer G. 19. Csizmadia Z. 25. Jagodics B. 5. Kenderes Z. 11. Kopacsi A. 14. Kovacs N. 27. Szarka A. 20. Toth G. 9. Zsolnai R.
Substitutes
1. Balla O. (G) 66. Eordogh A. 32. Jelena R. 11. Katona K. 20. Klausz A. 5. Kovacs I. 21. Letenyei Z. 15. Nemet D. 22. Szekely E.	30. Doncsecz L. 4. Frak M. 99. Garai Z. 31. Horvath D. (G) 77. Horvath P. 17. Kitl M. 23. Major G. 10. Pantovic N. 18. Sejben V. 28. Szvoboda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Szarka A. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Kovacs N. ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Kiprich D. ⚽,
31', Szarka A. 🟨,
36', Csemer G. 🟨,
38', Csemer G. ↓, Horvath P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Vass P. ↓, Eordogh A. ↑,
70', Borsos F. ↓, Sejben V. ↑,
73', Derekas Z. 🟨,
76', 🟨,
77', Derekas Z. ↓, Letenyei Z. ↑,
77', Kocsis G. ↓, Jelena R. ↑,
77', Varga D. ↓, Katona K. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Tatabánya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tatabánya won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tatabánya
Hungarian NB II
22.09.24	Kozármisleny - Tatabánya	3:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
14.09.24	Testvériség - Tatabánya	0:2 ✺
Hungarian NB II
01.09.24	Tatabánya - Kazincbarcikai	0:7 ✺
25.08.24	Tatabánya - Budafoki	1:2 ✺
19.08.24	Vasas - Tatabánya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLLW
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
22.09.24	Ajka - Budafoki	2:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
14.09.24	Nagykanizsa - Ajka	2:3 ET ✺
Hungarian NB II
01.09.24	Vasas - Ajka	3:2 ✺
25.08.24	Ajka - Kisvárda	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Budapest Honved - Ajka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.24	Ajka - Tatabánya	2:1

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