Match Info

Paulista Women - Round 4

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Taubaté		Santos

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.6	1.34
	7.9	5.15	1.27
	9.25	5.63	1.21
				Watch
	12.4	5.91	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.08 ↑ (5.24)	5.32 ↑ (4.23)	1.26 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taubaté
10.1%

Draw
17.2%

Santos
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

21.4%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

21.1%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taubaté's form might have worsened.

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taubaté, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taubaté - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Baiana (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 0, Franco C. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Paulista Women and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Paulista Women)

Taubaté is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santos is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Taubaté may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santos is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Taubaté won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Taubaté won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Taubaté
Brasileiro A2 Women
14.06.25	Taubaté - Kindermann-Avaí	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
11.06.25	Taubaté - Kindermann-Avaí	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
07.06.25	Botafogo RJ - Taubaté	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
04.06.25	Corinthians - Taubaté	5:1 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
25.05.25	Minas Brasília - Taubaté	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLT
- Santos FC Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
05.07.25	Santos - Ação	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Ação - Santos	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Santos - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
11.06.25	Santos - Pérolas Negras	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
05.06.25	Ferroviária - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro A2 Women
17.05.25	Taubaté - Santos	0:4
Brazilian Paulista Women
06.07.24	Santos - Taubaté	1:2

Taubaté - Santos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide