Match Info

Paulista Women - Round 5

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday


	Taubaté		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	12.5	5.75	1.18
	13.5	5.7	1.14
	12.77	6.05	1.14
	16	5.65	1.16
	11.31	5.15	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.22 ↑ (6.3)	5.66 ↑ (4.5)	1.16 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taubaté
6.8%

Draw
15.9%

São Paulo
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

19.9%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

19.3%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taubaté's form might have worsened.

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taubaté, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taubaté - São Paulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Paulista Women and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In recent matches, Taubaté has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

São Paulo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, São Paulo is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Taubaté won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Taubaté won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Taubaté
Brazilian Paulista Women
09.07.25	Taubaté - Santos	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
14.06.25	Taubaté - Kindermann-Avaí	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
11.06.25	Taubaté - Kindermann-Avaí	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
07.06.25	Botafogo RJ - Taubaté	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
04.06.25	Corinthians - Taubaté	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLLL
- São Paulo FC Women
Club Friendly Women
19.07.25	Racing Louisville - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
22.06.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
18.06.25	São Paulo - Internacional	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Juventude - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista Women
20.06.24	Taubaté - São Paulo	0:3

Taubaté - São Paulo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide