Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.40	3.10
	1.95	3.50	3.00
	2.02	3.55	3.17
	2.04	3.8	3.17	Watch
	2.00	3.50	3.10
	2.04	3.86	3.13
	2.00	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.97)	3.61 ↑ (3.58)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
45.4%

Draw
25.2%

Basingstoke Town
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

25.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

25.9%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Basingstoke Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Moulden A. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Rice J. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 3 - 0, Murray J. ⚽,
22', 3 - 1, Blake T. ⚽,
41', Nimaga S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 4 - 1, Murray J. ⚽,
74', 4 - 2, Obodo M. ⚽,
78', 4 - 3, Blake T. ⚽,
83', Irish L. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taunton won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Taunton has had a series of home games.

Taunton might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Taunton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Taunton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Basingstoke: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Taunton	9	4	1	4	23:22	1	13
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14:16	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Taunton Town - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.58%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Basingstoke Town - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
22.08.26	Uxbridge - Taunton Town	5:4 ✺
15.08.26	Taunton Town - Berkhamsted	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Taunton Town - Malvern Town	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Taunton Town - Truro City	Canceled ✺
21.07.26	Taunton Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWW?L
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
22.08.26	Basingstoke Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Hanwell Town - Basingstoke Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Basingstoke Town - Chesham United	2:6 ✺
14.07.26	Slough Town - Basingstoke Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.03.26	Basingstoke Town - Taunton Town	3:3
16.08.25	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	1:1
01.02.25	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	2:0
19.10.24	Basingstoke Town - Taunton Town	0:2
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0
English Southern League South Division
27.04.19	Basingstoke Town - Taunton Town	1:2
01.09.18	Taunton Town - Basingstoke Town	0:0

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