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Current Win Probability
Tauro 62.6%
Draw 22.7%
Herrera 14.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
22.8%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
21.9%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tauro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Herrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tauro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Tauro - Herrera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Ruiz A. (G) 2. Asprilla L. 3. Gondola E. 29. Vargas J. (C) 7. Rodriguez J. 4. Diaz A. 26. Cunningham S. 51. Insturain J. 22. Hernandez I. 19. Cecena J. 10. Quintero C.
1. Cubilla J. (G) 15. Quintero K. 16. Batchelor S. 6. Bethancourt F. 11. Gonzalez E. 18. Castillo D. 20. Lopez J. (C) 25. Tenorio D. 40. Perez P. 7. Villarreal R. 21. Pinilla J.
Substitutes
6. Bernal K. 17. Cabrera W. 11. Mosquera K. 21. Olivardia A. 39. Perea A. 20. Perez B. 5. Ramos Jaramillo H. 14. Rodriguez J. 1. Vargas J. (G) 99. Zuniga L.
31. Concepcion J. (G) 26. Concepcion J. 2. de la Espada J. 42. Gomez H. 10. Gonzalez J. 4. Moreno M. 19. Penalba A. 27. Rivera J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Pinilla J. 🟨,
24', Insturain J. 🟨,
32', Pinilla J. 🟨,
36', Insturain J. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
39', Gonzalez E. ↓, de la Espada J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Tenorio D. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
57', Villarreal R. ↓, Penalba A. ↑,
65', Perez P. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
65', Castillo D. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
66', Rodriguez J. ↓,
66', Cunningham S. ↓, Perea A. ↑,
67', Zuniga L. ↓, Bernal K. ↑,
75', Hernandez I. ↓, Mosquera K. ↑,
86', de la Espada J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tauro won 3.
Tauro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Herrera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Tauro is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tauro won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.2:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tauro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).