Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Tenerife C		Lanzarote

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.05	2.45
	2.68	3.07	2.58	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.57	3.46	2.57
	2.6	3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.34)	3.1 ↓ (3.45)	2.54 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife C
34.8%

Draw
29.4%

Lanzarote
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

25.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lanzarote has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife C than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Tenerife C - Lanzarote Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Tenerife C has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lanzarote has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lanzarote	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6
12	Tenerife C	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tenerife C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.01.26	Tenerife C - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	San Bartolomé - Tenerife C	1:3 ✺
03.01.26	Tenerife C - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Arucas - Tenerife C	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Tenerife C	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWTW
- UD Lanzarote
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.01.26	UD San Fernando - Lanzarote	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Real Unión - Lanzarote	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Lanzarote - San Bartolomé	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Lanzarote - Tamaraceite	5:0 ✺
07.12.25	Lanzarote - Herbania	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

Tenerife C - Lanzarote: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide