The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tenisca 38.6%
Draw 30.5%
Unión Sur Yaiza 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
30.9%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
21.8%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenisca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Unión Sur Yaiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenisca than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenisca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Sur Yaiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Tenisca is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Unión Sur Yaiza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Unión Sur Yaiza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tenisca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.