Match Info

TURKEY: 3. Lig Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Tepecik Belediye		Erciyes 38

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.2	2.18
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.08	3.18	2.18
	3.05	3.2	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.17 ↑ (3)	2.17 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tepecik Belediye
29.7%

Draw
28.6%

Erciyes 38
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tepecik Belediye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Erciyes 38 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepecik Belediye than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erciyes 38 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Tepecik Belediye - Erciyes 38 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Bozkus F. C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, Ekici H. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Karadag E. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Erdogan B. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Tepecik is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erciyes is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Erciyes will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tepecik Belediye
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
17.11.24	1926 Polatlı - Tepecik Belediye	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Tepecik Belediye - Bursa Nilüferspor	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Izmir Çoruhlu - Tepecik Belediye	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Tepecik Belediye - Niğde Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Orduspor 1967 - Tepecik Belediye	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTLLL
- Erciyes 38 FSK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
17.11.24	Erciyes 38 - Edirnespor Gençlik	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Erciyes 38 - 1926 Polatlı	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Bursa Nilüferspor - Erciyes 38	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Ankara Demirspor - Erciyes 38	3:0 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
26.10.24	Erciyes 38 - Izmir Çoruhlu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTLW

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