The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ternana 31.7%
Draw 28.1%
Como 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
28.9%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ternana's form might have worsened.
Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Como's recent form is better than expected.
Ternana - Como Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ciccioli G. (G) 29. Martins C. 4. Pacioni E. 24. Massimino M. 14. Toniolo M. 8. Pastrenge L. 33. Breitner S. (C) 21. Petrara M. 23. Regazzoli A. 9. Hornemann S. 15. Strode C.
22. Gilardi A. (G) 2. Marcussen A. 5. Howard S. 3. Ronan K. 20. Simonetti F. 77. Borbye L. 7. Nischler N. (C) 13. Nesbeth L. 6. Bergersen M. 12. Nielsen A. 9. Bernardi V.
Substitutes
27. Cecchini M. 16. Ciccotti C. 6. Corrado H. 7. Gomes A. 17. Labate C. 10. Lazaro P. 5. Peruzzo L. 19. Quazzico F. 71. Schroffenegger K. (G) 1. Steen K. (G) 28. Yang Lina
32. Babb S. (G) 11. Berisha F. 24. Bianchi C. 10. Chidiac A. 8. Hubaut L. 16. Moretti G. 30. Ruma G. (G) 4. Saga S. 19. Serra L. 21. Viesti M. 17. Vigilucci V.
Coaches
Defendi M.
Tramezzani P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Martins C. (Own goal),
32', 1 - 1, Hornemann S. ⚽, Pastrenge L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Nielsen A. ⚽, Nesbeth L. (A),
59', Pastrenge L. ↓, Lazaro P. ↑,
71', Bergersen M. 🟨,
77', Regazzoli A. ↓, Ciccotti C. ↑,
78', Bernardi V. ↓, Vigilucci V. ↑,
83', Lazaro P. 🟨,
83', Breitner S. ↓, Labate C. ↑,
83', Strode C. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
86', Simonetti F. ↓, Serra L. ↑,
Preview
Ternana has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ternana has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ternana against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 2:2.5 per game).