Match Info

EGYPT: DIVISION 2 - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 24 February 2023, Friday


	Tersana		Mostaqbal Watan

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.5	3.75	5.7
	1.55	3.82	5.67
	1.53	3.2	6.5
	1.59	3.64	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.12)	3.6 ↑ (2.7)	5.72 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tersana
58.9%

Draw
25.2%

Mostaqbal Watan
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

33.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

34.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tersana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tersana's performance.

Mostaqbal Watan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mostaqbal Watan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tersana than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tersana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaqbal Watan than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mostaqbal Watan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Tersana - Mostaqbal Watan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tersana will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Mostaqbal Watan will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mostaqbal Watan: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Recent matches Tersana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mostaqbal Watan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Mostaqbal Watan have a series of home games.

Tersana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tersana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tersana SC
Egyptian Division 2 - Group B
17.02.23	ZED - Tersana	0:0 ✺
10.02.23	Tersana - Porto Suez	0:1 ✺
03.02.23	El-Entag El-Harby - Tersana	0:1 ✺
20.01.23	Olympic El Qanah - Tersana	2:1 ✺
13.01.23	Tersana - Petrojet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWLW
- Mostaqbal Watan SC
Egyptian Division 2 - Group B
17.02.23	Mostaqbal Watan - El Alameen	4:1 ✺
10.02.23	Al Nasr Cairo - Mostaqbal Watan	0:1 ✺
03.02.23	Mostaqbal Watan - El Sekka El Hadid	2:2 ✺
20.01.23	Mostaqbal Watan - Wadi Degla	2:2 ✺
05.01.23	Mostaqbal Watan - WE SC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 - Group B
02.11.22	Mostaqbal Watan - Tersana	1:2

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