The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thanh Hoa 37.2%
Draw 28.6%
Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
27.6%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
27.3%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thanh Hoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanh Hoa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Thanh Hoa - Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Nie Y Eli (G) 77. Abdurakhmanov O. 29. Doan Ngoc Ha 34. Doan N. T. (C) 11. Gordon R. 6. Huynh Minh Doan 7. Nguyen B. 16. Nguyen Dinh Huyen 17. Nguyen Van Tung 22. Thongkhamsavath D. 15. Trinh Van Loi
89. Le Giang P. (G) 14. Endrick 13. Khong Minh Gia 34. Le Quang Hung 7. Makrillos P. 4. Matheus Felipe 26. Ngo K. 19. Nguyen Thai Q. C. 22. Nguyen Tien Linh (C) 20. Voo Huu V. H. 66. Williams L.
Substitutes
43. Le Van Hung 10. Le Van Thang 27. Moldskred M. 26. Ngo Duc Hoang 24. Nguyen Ngoc My 23. Pham Trum Tinh 67. Trinh Xuan Hoang (G) 14. Truong Thanh Nam 75. Van Hoan L.
23. Dang V. L. 21. Dao Quoc Gia 9. Dinh Thanh Binh 68. Mach Ngoc Ha 39. Nguyen Duc Phu 67. Nguyen M. C. (G) 10. Raphael Utzig 11. Tay Van Toan 6. Vo Huy Toan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Nguyen B. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Gordon R. ⚽,
41', Nie Y Eli 🟨,
45+5', 🟨,
45+7', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Le Quang Hung ↓, Dinh Thanh Binh ↑,
46', Nguyen Tien Linh ↓, Mach Ngoc Ha ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Nguyen Van Tung ⚽,
54', 🟨,
55', Endrick ↓, Raphael Utzig ↑,
56', Trinh Van Loi ↓, Moldskred M. ↑,
70', Nguyen Van Tung ↓, Le Van Thang ↑,
70', Nguyen B. ↓, Le V. H. ↑,
70', Thongkhamsavath D. ↓, Ngo Duc Hoang ↑,
80', Gordon R. ↓, Nguyen Ngoc My ↑,
81', Mach Ngoc Ha 🟨,
81', Williams L. ↓, Tay Van Toan ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Le Van Thang ⚽,
90+3', Huynh Minh Doan 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thanh Hoa won 1.
Thanh Hoa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cong An has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Cong An has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Thanh Hoa won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Thanh Hoa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.8:1.5).
Vietnam
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Nie Y Eli (G) 
Abdurakhmanov O. 
Gordon R. 
Thongkhamsavath D. 
Le Giang P. (G) 
Endrick 
Makrillos P. 
Matheus Felipe 
Williams L. 
Moldskred M. 
Van Hoan L. 
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