Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Thermaikos		Doxa Dramas

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.15	1.4
	8.6	4.15	1.34
	6.33	4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.14 ↑ (6.33)	4.1 ↑ (4)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thermaikos
12.6%

Draw
21.9%

Doxa Dramas
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

22.1%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

21.3%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thermaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Doxa Dramas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thermaikos than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doxa Dramas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Thermaikos - Doxa Dramas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 1 (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 1 (Winners stage: )).

Thermaikos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Doxa Dramas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Doxa Dramas is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thermaikos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Thermaikos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Doxa Dramas	22	13	4	5	41:25	16	43
9	Thermaikos FC	22	6	4	12	19:32	-13	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thermaikos FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
11.01.26	Panthrakikos - Thermaikos	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Thermaikos - Poseidonas Michanionas	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Orestis Orestiadas - Thermaikos	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Thermaikos - Kilkisiakos	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Apollon Krya Vrysi - Thermaikos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLL
- Doxa Dramas
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
11.01.26	Kilkisiakos - Doxa Dramas	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Doxa Dramas - Apollon Krya Vrysi	3:2 ✺
14.12.25	Aetos Ofryniou - Doxa Dramas	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Doxa Dramas - PAOK Kristonis	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Doxa Dramas - Iraklis Thermaikou	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
19.10.25	Doxa Dramas - Thermaikos	4:1
03.12.23	Thermaikos - Doxa Dramas	2:1
29.03.23	Doxa Dramas - Thermaikos	0:0
08.01.23	Thermaikos - Doxa Dramas	0:2
30.01.22	Thermaikos - Doxa Dramas	0:0

Thermaikos - Doxa Dramas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide