Match Info

GREECE: GAMMA ETHNIKI - GROUP 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Thermaikos		Orfeas Xanthi

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.4	8.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.93)	3.4 ↑ (3)	8.8 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thermaikos
62.8%

Draw
26.8%

Orfeas Xanthi
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

30.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thermaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thermaikos's performance.

Orfeas Xanthi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orfeas Xanthi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thermaikos than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thermaikos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orfeas Xanthi than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orfeas Xanthi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Thermaikos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Thermaikos is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Thermaikos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thermaikos FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
26.02.23	Byron Kavala - Thermaikos	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Thermaikos - Ethnikos Alexandroupoli	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Agrotikos Asteras - Thermaikos	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Thermaikos - Apollon Paralimnio	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Thermaikos - Panthrakikos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLT
- Orfeas Xanthi
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
25.02.23	Orfeas Xanthi - Panthrakikos	2:2 ✺
04.02.23	Orfeas Xanthi - Doxa Dramas	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Aris Avato - Orfeas Xanthi	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Orfeas Xanthi - Kavala	2:2 ✺
18.01.23	Poseidonas Michanionas - Orfeas Xanthi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
30.11.22	Orfeas Xanthi - Thermaikos	0:1
16.01.22	Orfeas Xanthi - Thermaikos	1:2

Thermaikos - Orfeas Xanthi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide