Match Info

National 2 - Group B - Round 21

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium Plaine (Thionville)


	Thionville Lusitanos		Épinal

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.36	4.41
	1.74	3.44	4.41	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.4
	1.68	3.32	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.5)	3.36 ↓ (3.66)	4.53 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thionville Lusitanos
53.1%

Draw
26.9%

Épinal
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

25%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thionville Lusitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thionville Lusitanos's form might have worsened.

Épinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Épinal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thionville Lusitanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épinal than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Épinal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Thionville Lusitanos - Épinal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Épinal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Thionville Lusitanos is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Thionville Lusitanos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Thionville Lusitanos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Thionville Lusitanos
French National 1 - Group B
07.03.26	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire - Thionville Lusitanos	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Bourges 18 - Thionville Lusitanos	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Biesheim	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Haguenau	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Feignies Aulnoye - Thionville Lusitanos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLLT
- Épinal FC
French National 1 - Group B
06.03.26	Épinal - Colmar	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Feignies Aulnoye - Épinal	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Épinal - Dieppe	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Beauvais Oise - Épinal	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Biesheim - Épinal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group B
03.10.25	Épinal - Thionville Lusitanos	0:2
French National 1 - Group C
03.05.25	Thionville Lusitanos - Épinal	0:1

Thionville Lusitanos - Épinal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide