Match Info

National 2 - Group B - Round 27

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium Plaine (Thionville)


	Thionville Lusitanos		Chantilly

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.65
	1.65	3.53	4.5
	1.66	3.63	4.64	Watch
	1.65	3.3	4.6
	1.74	3.55	4.7
	1.61	3.2	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)	3.45 ↑ (3.2)	4.57 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thionville Lusitanos
54.2%

Draw
26.1%

Chantilly
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.9%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

25.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thionville Lusitanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Chantilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chantilly than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Thionville Lusitanos - Chantilly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 3 - 0, ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Thionville Lusitanos is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Thionville Lusitanos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Thionville Lusitanos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Thionville Lusitanos
French National 1 - Group B
18.04.26	Colmar - Thionville Lusitanos	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Feignies Aulnoye	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Dieppe - Thionville Lusitanos	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Beauvais Oise	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Blois Foot 41 - Thionville Lusitanos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTW
- US Chantilly
French National 1 - Group B
18.04.26	Chantilly - Biesheim	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Colmar - Chantilly	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Chantilly - Blois Foot 41	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Feignies Aulnoye - Chantilly	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Chantilly - Haguenau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group B
13.12.25	Chantilly - Thionville Lusitanos	1:2
French National 1 - Group C
07.09.24	Thionville Lusitanos - Chantilly	2:2

Thionville Lusitanos - Chantilly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide