Match Info
National 2 - Group B - Round 8Date: 18 October 2025, SaturdayLocation: Stadium Plaine (Thionville)
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Thionville Lusitanos |
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Furiani-Agliani |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.41 |
4.4 |
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 |
1.55 |
3.77 |
5.53 |
Watch |
 |
1.5 |
3.68 |
6.23 |
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 |
1.57 |
3.66 |
5.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↑ (1.56) |
3.63 ↓ (3.72) |
5.42 ↓ (5.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Thionville Lusitanos 57.9% | Draw 25.2% | Furiani-Agliani 16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thionville Lusitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Furiani-Agliani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Furiani-Agliani than the current prediction. (-1%)Thionville Lusitanos - Furiani Agliani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Gouletquer A. (Pen),
- 29', 2 - 0, Gouletquer A. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, Laurens G. ⚽,
- 42', 3 - 1, Gouletquer A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 79', 3 - 2, Jourdan M. ⚽,
- 81', 3 - 3, Rigaud L. ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟥,
- 90+4', 4 - 3, Bouhmidi K. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National and 8).Thionville Lusitanos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Furiani-Agliani has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Furiani-Agliani may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Thionville Lusitanos is the team to beat.We predict that Thionville Lusitanos will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Thionville Lusitanos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).Including home match between the teams, Thionville Lusitanos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;