The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Throttur Reykjavik 38.7%
Draw 24%
Afturelding 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
24.8%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
26.3%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Throttur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afturelding's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Throttur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Throttur Reykjavik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afturelding, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Throttur Reykjavik - Afturelding Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Afturelding will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gudmundsson T. (G) 2. Blondal E. 7. Geirsson T. 21. Hardarson B. 27. Hinriksson O. 32. Ingason A. 22. Kristjansson K. 9. Robertsson A. 8. Stefansson B. (C) 25. Thorhallsson H. 4. Thorhallsson N.
1. Johannesson A. (G) 3. Andresson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 11. Bjarkason O. 10. Cogic E. 9. Holtan J. 33. Hoti A. 19. Hugason S. 8. Kooistra B. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Saevarsson B.
Substitutes
12. Birnuson A. (G) 5. Gudbergsson K. 6. Kristjansson J. 45. Sigurdsson V. 3. Stefansson S. 20. Steinarsson V. 11. Thordarson M.
17. Brink H. O. 27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 5. Petursson J. 4. Sigmarsson G. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G) 24. Thrainsson T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Kristjansson K. ⚽,
32', Olafsson S. 🟨,
32', Cogic E. 🟥,
35', 2 - 0, Ingason A. ⚽,
40', Hugason S. ↓, Sigmarsson G. ↑,
45+2', 3 - 0, Ingason A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 4 - 0, Hinriksson O. ⚽,
56', Bjarkason O. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
71', Hinriksson O. ↓, Sigurdsson V. ↑,
71', Hardarson B. ↓, Steinarsson V. ↑,
71', Blondal E. ↓, Thordarson M. ↑,
77', Kristjansson K. ↓, Kristjansson J. ↑,
80', Steinarsson V. 🟨,
84', Barkarson B. B. ↓, Thrainsson T. ↑,
84', Kooistra B. ↓, Dadason R. ↑,
84', Geirsson T. ↓, Gudbergsson K. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Thrainsson T. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Throttur won 1.
Throttur has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Afturelding is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Afturelding may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Throttur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Throttur won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Afturelding - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.94%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.