Match Info

Division 1 - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Eimskipsvöllurinn (Reykjavík)


	Throttur Reykjavik		Fylkir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.80	3.60
	1.77	3.75	3.5	Watch
	1.81	4.13	3.7
	1.81	4.09	3.67	Watch
	1.74	4	3.55
	1.75	3.8	3.64	Watch
	1.77	3.7	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.09)	3.9 ↑ (3.58)	3.59 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Throttur Reykjavik
51.4%

Draw
23.3%

Fylkir
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Throttur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Throttur Reykjavik's performance.

Fylkir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fylkir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Throttur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Throttur Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fylkir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Throttur will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - under (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudmundsson T. (G) 2. Blondal E. 21. Hardarson B. 27. Hinriksson O. 32. Ingason A. 22. Kristjansson K. 10. Larusson S. 8. Stefansson B. 3. Stefansson S. 25. Thorhallsson H. 4. Thorhallsson N.	1. Helgason O. (G) 77. Arnarsson B. 3. Asthorsson A. 17. Eythorsson B. 18. Gunnarsson N. 7. Hilmarsson M. 4. Jonsson H. 6. Leosson G. 20. Oskarsson T. 92. Sigfusson K. 70. Tyrfingsson G.
Substitutes
12. Birnuson A. (G) 7. Geirsson T. 33. Ingvarsson U. 19. Oddgeirsson B. 9. Robertsson A. 45. Sigurdsson V. 20. Steinarsson V.	25. Baldursson J. 10. Gardarsson B. 14. Gunnarsson T. 13. Ingimundarson T. 11. Ottesen M. 30. Sigtryggsson K. (G) 9. Wohler E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oskarsson T. ↓, Gardarsson B. ↑,
46', Arnarsson B. ↓, Gunnarsson T. ↑,
64', Hinriksson O. ↓, Sigurdsson V. ↑,
77', Thorhallsson N. ↓, Geirsson T. ↑,
77', Hilmarsson M. ↓, Ottesen M. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Ingason A. ⚽,
81', Eythorsson B. 🟨,
82', Gunnarsson N. ↓, Wohler E. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Throttur won 4.

Throttur has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Fylkir has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Throttur is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Throttur in today's match, at odds of 1.8.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Throttur has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:39 (averaging 1.6:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Throttur against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Fylkir - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 30.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Throttur Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
13.09.26	Throttur Reykjavik - Njarðvík	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Njarðvík - Throttur Reykjavik	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vestri - Throttur Reykjavik	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Throttur Reykjavik - Ægir	7:2 ✺
22.08.26	HK Kópavogur - Throttur Reykjavik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Fylkir Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
13.09.26	Fylkir - HK Kópavogur	2:2 AET ✺
09.09.26	HK Kópavogur - Fylkir	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	HK Kópavogur - Fylkir	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Fylkir - Grótta	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Fylkir - Grindavik	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
17.08.26	Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir	3:1
06.06.26	Fylkir - Throttur Reykjavik	1:3
Icelandic League Cup
05.03.26	Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir	3:0
Icelandic Reykjavik Cup
24.01.26	Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir	0:0
Icelandic Division 1
29.07.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir	2:1
23.05.25	Fylkir - Throttur Reykjavik	1:2
Icelandic Reykjavik Cup
15.01.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir	2:0

Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide