Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 - Round 15

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Thyella Rafina		Ethnikos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	6.9	3.6	1.45
	7.23	3.48	1.48
	7	3.4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.04 ↑ (5.35)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	1.46 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thyella Rafina
12.7%

Draw
25.7%

Ethnikos Piraeus
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

27.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

26.6%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thyella Rafina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Ethnikos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethnikos Piraeus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thyella Rafina than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Thyella Rafina - Ethnikos Piraeus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thyella Rafina won 1.

Recent performances by Thyella Rafina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ethnikos Piraeus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ethnikos Piraeus is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Thyella Rafina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Thyella Rafina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thyella Rafina
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
21.12.25	Ionikos Nikaias - Thyella Rafina	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Thyella Rafina - Kyanos Asteras Vari	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Atsalenios - Thyella Rafina	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Thyella Rafina - Aias Salamina	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Thyella Rafina - Granitis Agia Marina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTTW
- Ethnikos Piraeus
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
21.12.25	Ethnikos Piraeus - Mykonos	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Ethnikos Piraeus - Ionikos Nikaias	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kyanos Asteras Vari - Ethnikos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ethnikos Piraeus - Atsalenios	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Aias Salamina - Ethnikos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
11.10.25	Ethnikos Piraeus - Thyella Rafina	2:1
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
02.02.25	Thyella Rafina - Ethnikos Piraeus	0:3
13.10.24	Ethnikos Piraeus - Thyella Rafina	1:0
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
19.02.23	Ethnikos Piraeus - Thyella Rafina	2:0
20.11.22	Thyella Rafina - Ethnikos Piraeus	1:0
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
30.01.22	Thyella Rafina - Ethnikos Piraeus	2:1

Thyella Rafina - Ethnikos Piraeus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide