Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Tienen		Charleroi B

	1	X	2
	2.86	3.38	2.31
	2.86	3.38	2.31
	2.82	3.34	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.94)	3.37 ↑ (3.37)	2.28 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tienen
32.3%

Draw
27.3%

Charleroi B
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.3%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tienen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Charleroi B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tienen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi B than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Tienen - Charleroi B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 4).

Recent matches Tienen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Charleroi B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tienen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Charleroi B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tienen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tienen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVK Tienen
Belgian National Division 1
05.11.23	URSL Vise - Tienen	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Dessel Sport - Tienen	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Tienen - Gent B	0:4 ✺
15.10.23	Royal Antwerp 2 - Tienen	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Tienen - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLTW
- SC Charleroi B
Belgian National Division 1
04.11.23	Charleroi B - Gent B	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Cappellen - Charleroi B	0:3 ✺
22.10.23	Charleroi B - Knokke	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Charleroi B	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Charleroi B - Namur	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
16.04.23	Tienen - Charleroi B	1:4

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