Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Tienen		Houtvenne

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.2	3.29	2.2
	3.12	3.22	2.22	Watch
	3.27	3.2	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.77)	3.23 ↓ (3.42)	2.14 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tienen
28.7%

Draw
28.4%

Houtvenne
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.9%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tienen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Houtvenne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houtvenne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tienen than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houtvenne than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houtvenne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tienen - Houtvenne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tienen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tienen has had a series of home games.

Houtvenne could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVK Tienen
Belgian National Division 1 VV
20.09.25	Dessel Sport - Tienen	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Tienen - SK Roeselare	0:3 ✺
07.09.25	Tienen - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.25	Tienen - Namur	2:2 ✺
13.08.25	Tienen - Heist	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLTW
- KFC Houtvenne
Belgian National Division 1 VV
20.09.25	Houtvenne - Hoogstraten	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Thes Sport - Houtvenne	0:0 ✺
09.09.25	SK Roeselare - Houtvenne	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Houtvenne - Ninove	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Houtvenne - Royal Antwerp 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWTT

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