The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tienen 38.6%
Draw 26.2%
Merelbeke 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
25.5%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
24.7%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tienen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Merelbeke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tienen than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelbeke than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Tienen - Merelbeke Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 5th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Tienen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Merelbeke has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Tienen has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tienen against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Merelbeke
6
3
2
1
10:5
5
11
9
Tienen
6
2
2
2
12:8
4
8
Last Results with these Odds
Tienen - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.21%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.