Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Tienen		Ninove

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.1	3.1
	2.06	3.41	3.41
	2.05	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2	3.25	3.1
	2.02	3.63	3.22
	2.05	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.21)	3.36 ↑ (3.19)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tienen
44.6%

Draw
27.2%

Ninove
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.8%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tienen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ninove has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tienen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ninove than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Tienen - Ninove Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Tienen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ninove's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tienen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tienen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tienen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tienen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Tienen	6	2	2	2	12:8	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVK Tienen
Belgian National Division 1 VV
24.01.26	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Tienen	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tienen - Cercle Brugge 2	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	SK Roeselare - Tienen	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Zelzate - Tienen	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Tienen - Leuven B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWTWW
- KVK Ninove
Belgian National Division 1 VV
24.01.26	Ninove - Dessel Sport	1:6 ✺
17.01.26	Thes Sport - Ninove	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Ninove - Zelzate	4:8 ✺
14.12.25	SK Roeselare - Ninove	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Ninove - Diegem Sport	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
15.11.25	Ninove - Tienen	1:2
29.03.25	Ninove - Tienen	2:0
10.11.24	Tienen - Ninove	1:0
Belgian National Division 1
13.05.23	Tienen - Ninove	4:1
12.11.22	Ninove - Tienen	1:1

Tienen - Ninove: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide