Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Tigre 2		Unión Santa Fe 2

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.92	2.92	Watch
	2.41	3.23	2.82
	2.36	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.8
	2.38	3.05	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.64)	3.06 ↓ (3.32)	2.84 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre 2
38.4%

Draw
29.7%

Unión Santa Fe 2
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

27.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

27.1%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Unión Santa Fe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Santa Fe 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Santa Fe 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tigre 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre 2 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tigre 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tigre 2 - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.81%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
09.04.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Tigre 2	2:2 ✺
01.04.26	Tigre 2 - Godoy Cruz 2	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Tigre 2	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Tigre 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Tigre 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTL
- Unión Santa Fe 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.04.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	4:0 ✺
26.03.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - River Plate 2	2:2 ✺
18.03.26	Racing Club 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
30.07.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Tigre 2	3:2
06.03.25	Tigre 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	3:2
07.08.24	Tigre 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:1
27.02.24	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Tigre 2	0:1
06.11.23	Tigre 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	5:0
14.04.23	Tigre 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	2:0
03.06.22	Tigre 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:3

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