Match Info

1. MFL - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tikveš		Bregalnica Štip

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.33	6.75
	1.35	4.3	6.6
	1.35	4.5	6.68
	1.40	4.31	7.00	Watch
	1.32	4.15	6.5
	1.34	4.3	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)	4.32 ↑ (3.95)	6.87 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tikveš
66.2%

Draw
20.8%

Bregalnica Štip
13%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.8%

22.3%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21.2%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tikveš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Bregalnica Štip has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Tikveš aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bregalnica Štip than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Tikveš - Bregalnica Štip Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stevkovski H. (G) 34. Ackovski K. 2. Camara F. 4. Fall I. 22. Lawal T. 15. Nikolovski T. 6. Ramadani B. 74. Renatinho 11. Sylla N. 21. Varelovski A. (C) 23. Wisdom O.	1. Jasar A. (G) 25. Angelov M. 11. Gligorov I. 22. Kocev S. (C) 8. Maksimov M. 10. Nikolov I. 3. Nikolovski A. 7. Stojanov M. 17. Tasev D. 6. Temelkov R. 14. Velkoski V.
Substitutes
25. Chajani S. 44. Dimeski A. 80. Elmas M. 7. Lucianinho 99. Lukman Oluvadamilare A. 24. Popzlatanov J. 8. Rakipi O. 3. Sekirski S. 17. Spasov G. 12. Trajkovski A. (G) 32. Vlajkovic N.	23. Aleksovski F. 52. Filevski N. (G) 21. Georgiev L. 15. Hadzi-Kimov B. 13. Lemos M. 35. Mascoe N. 9. Miholov D. 98. Milenkovski M. (G) 18. Rajkov B. 19. Stojanov D. 24. Stojkoski K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
85', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tikveš won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Tikveš may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Tikveš as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Tikveš has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:20 (averaging 0.8:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tikveš against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tikves	11	5	5	1	24:9	15	20
7	Bregalnica Stip	11	4	1	6	15:20	-5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GFK Tikveš
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Rabotnički - Tikveš	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
18.09.26	Sileks - Tikveš	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Tikveš - Struga	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Tikveš	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Tikveš - Vardar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.2 TTTWT
- Bregalnica Štip
North Macedonian 1 MFL
23.09.26	Bregalnica Štip - Skopje	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Sileks - Bregalnica Štip	2:2 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
09.09.26	Teteks - Bregalnica Štip	1:4 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
04.09.26	Bregalnica Štip - Shkëndija Haraçinë	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Struga - Bregalnica Štip	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
10.03.24	Tikveš - Bregalnica Štip	2:1
18.02.24	Bregalnica Štip - Tikveš	2:1
24.09.23	Tikveš - Bregalnica Štip	2:1
02.04.23	Bregalnica Štip - Tikveš	0:0
06.11.22	Bregalnica Štip - Tikveš	2:1
21.08.22	Tikveš - Bregalnica Štip	1:1
08.05.22	Bregalnica Štip - Tikveš	1:0

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